The american Subjective Estimate for the 2026 harvest has been released, with the following result:<\/p>\n
1.390.000 acres \u00d7 1.940 lb\/acre = 2,70 Blbs<\/p>\n
This result is very similar to what is expected for the current harvest. In fact, the report also states that for the current 2025 harvest, they estimate (a 1% increase in acreage and the same yield): 1,400,000 acres \u00d7 1,940 lb\/acre = 2.72 billion pounds. Consequently, the next harvest in 2026 would be around 1% lower than the current 2025 harvest, which is very similar.<\/p>\n
The area used is the same as that estimated on 12 May 2025, but at that time a yield of 2,010 lb\/acre was estimated (3.5% higher than the current estimate), giving a total of 2.80 Blbs. Therefore, there was only a margin of error of 0.10 Blbs compared to what the final yield will be this year, which is acceptable given how things have gone.<\/p>\n
It is estimated that this harvest will have a similar surplus, of around 500 million pounds, bringing the total harvest for 2026 to 3.2 billion pounds \u2013 as we have said, similar to the current harvest.<\/p>\n
Terra Nova estimated a productive area of 1,340,000 acres with a yield of 1,985 lb\/acre, resulting in 2.66 million pounds. A smaller area but a higher yield.<\/p>\n
This estimate was derived from a subjective survey of around 500 almond growers conducted between 21 April and 6 May. It is a stratified random sample, grouped by farm size to ensure that all growers are represented proportionally.<\/p>\n
Thanks<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"